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Red50
375312.9
45622.5
408727.1
Blue67
361626.4
59012.4
709419.2
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65655056606264665067

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.11.8
26.624.8
Auto6.9
Teleop12.5
End7.8
red by 0.7
3616
#12
26.40.6
21.822.5
Auto7.2
Teleop12.8
End6.5
Second
456
#16
22.51.8
19.217.4
Auto4.2
Teleop9.7
End8.6
red by 3.2
7094
#20
19.20.6
22.723.4
Auto8.0
Teleop7.1
End4.1
Third
3753
#21
12.91.8
15.313.5
Auto3.3
Teleop7.5
End2.0
red by 0.4
590
#22
12.40.6
16.617.3
Auto4.5
Teleop2.3
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
32%Activation oddsMissed33%Activation oddsMissed