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Red112
433651.2
303947.2
804414.9
Blue72
299237.9
142131.8
382416.4
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1147620406010014016018011272

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.20.7
43.844.5
Auto13.3
Teleop28.9
End9.0
red by 13.3
37.90.5
36.436.0
Auto10.5
Teleop20.5
End6.9
Second
47.20.7
40.641.3
Auto14.5
Teleop26.1
End6.6
red by 15.4
31.80.4
29.328.9
Auto14.6
Teleop10.4
End6.7
Third
8044
#26
14.91.0
17.618.6
Auto2.4
Teleop7.0
End5.6
blue by 1.5
3824
#19
16.40.4
10.510.1
Auto3.1
Teleop4.9
End8.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsEarned4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
80%Activation oddsEarned75%Activation oddsEarned