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Qual 42023 Magnolia Regional
Red43
142131.8
361626.4
873211.8
Blue57
192717.7
346822.1
747410.4
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions775101001502002503004357

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1421
#6
31.83.4
25.6→22.2
Auto14.6
Teleop10.4
End6.7
red by 9.7
3468
#10
22.10.7
18.6→19.3
Auto3.9
Teleop9.3
End8.8
Second
3616
#12
26.43.4
21.2→17.8
Auto7.2
Teleop12.8
End6.5
red by 8.8
1927
#15
17.70.7
16.7→17.3
Auto7.1
Teleop4.8
End5.7
Third
8732
#27
11.83.4
21.9→18.5
Auto4.3
Teleop4.3
End3.2
red by 1.5
7474
#25
10.40.7
15.6→16.3
Auto2.3
Teleop2.6
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
49%Activation oddsMissed37%Activation oddsMissed