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Qual 512023 Magnolia Regional
Red61
747410.4
299237.9
36430.2
Blue93
433651.2
45622.5
725515.0
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions958540601201401606193

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2992
#2
37.92.4
41.3→39.0
Auto10.5
Teleop20.5
End6.9
blue by 13.3
4336
#3
51.20.8
46.3→47.1
Auto13.3
Teleop28.9
End9.0
Second
364
#23
30.22.2
31.3→29.1
Auto8.7
Teleop15.3
End6.1
red by 7.7
456
#16
22.51.0
22.0→23.0
Auto4.2
Teleop9.7
End8.6
Third
7474
#25
10.42.4
14.9→12.6
Auto2.3
Teleop2.6
End5.5
blue by 4.7
7255
#11
15.01.1
12.6→13.7
Auto2.6
Teleop8.8
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
11%Sustainability oddsMissed6%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
72%Activation oddsEarned64%Activation oddsEarned