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Red59
45622.5
410721.0
375312.9
Blue89
742822.0
11851.1
747410.4
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51960204060801201405989

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
456
#16
22.50.4
21.121.5
Auto4.2
Teleop9.7
End8.6
blue by 28.6
118
#4
51.10.0
52.352.3
Auto17.4
Teleop25.6
End8.0
Second
4107
#24
21.00.4
20.120.5
Auto6.3
Teleop7.9
End6.7
blue by 1.0
22.00.0
21.821.7
Auto7.2
Teleop9.4
End5.4
Third
3753
#21
12.90.4
12.112.5
Auto3.3
Teleop7.5
End2.0
red by 2.5
7474
#25
10.40.0
10.410.4
Auto2.3
Teleop2.6
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed11%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
18%Activation oddsEarned48%Activation oddsEarned