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Red86
395927.4
142131.8
880830.3
Blue101
53817.2
433651.2
873211.8
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions937720406010012014086101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.80.0
31.231.3
Auto14.6
Teleop10.4
End6.7
blue by 19.5
51.21.8
48.950.7
Auto13.3
Teleop28.9
End9.0
Second
30.30.0
29.829.8
Auto8.7
Teleop12.2
End9.4
red by 13.1
538
#17
17.21.8
16.117.8
Auto2.9
Teleop8.9
End5.5
Third
3959
#13
27.40.0
24.424.5
Auto8.8
Teleop11.0
End7.6
red by 15.6
8732
#27
11.81.8
9.611.3
Auto4.3
Teleop4.3
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed10%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
87%Activation oddsEarned30%Activation oddsEarned