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Qual 72023 Magnolia Regional
Red31
873211.8
45622.5
382416.4
Blue55
747410.4
53817.2
142131.8
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58602040801003155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
456
#16
22.53.1
23.0→19.9
Auto4.2
Teleop9.7
End8.6
blue by 9.3
1421
#6
31.80.3
22.2→22.5
Auto14.6
Teleop10.4
End6.7
Second
3824
#19
16.43.1
17.0→13.9
Auto3.1
Teleop4.9
End8.4
blue by 0.9
538
#17
17.20.3
13.9→14.2
Auto2.9
Teleop8.9
End5.5
Third
8732
#27
11.83.1
18.5→15.4
Auto4.3
Teleop4.3
End3.2
red by 1.5
7474
#25
10.40.3
16.3→16.6
Auto2.3
Teleop2.6
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
42%Activation oddsMissed29%Activation oddsMissed