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Red84
142131.8
880830.3
410721.0
Blue105
191225.0
395927.4
36430.2
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9081020406010012014016084105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.80.0
31.731.8
Auto14.6
Teleop10.4
End6.7
red by 1.6
364
#23
30.20.4
28.328.7
Auto8.7
Teleop15.3
End6.1
Second
30.30.0
30.330.3
Auto8.7
Teleop12.2
End9.4
red by 2.9
3959
#13
27.40.4
25.525.9
Auto8.8
Teleop11.0
End7.6
Third
4107
#24
21.00.0
21.021.0
Auto6.3
Teleop7.9
End6.7
blue by 4.0
1912
#14
25.00.4
23.123.5
Auto7.6
Teleop9.1
End8.3