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Red92
11851.1
804414.9
299237.9
Blue96
191225.0
395927.4
36430.2
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions118782040601001401609296

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#4
51.10.5
51.651.1
Auto17.4
Teleop25.6
End8.0
red by 20.9
364
#23
30.20.4
28.729.1
Auto8.7
Teleop15.3
End6.1
Second
37.90.5
38.437.9
Auto10.5
Teleop20.5
End6.9
red by 10.5
3959
#13
27.40.4
25.926.3
Auto8.8
Teleop11.0
End7.6
Third
8044
#26
14.90.5
15.514.9
Auto2.4
Teleop7.0
End5.6
blue by 10.1
1912
#14
25.00.4
23.523.9
Auto7.6
Teleop9.1
End8.3