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Red86
408727.1
873211.8
361626.4
Blue93
45622.5
382416.4
218329.7
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6870506080908693

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.10.5
26.627.1
Auto6.9
Teleop12.5
End7.8
blue by 2.5
29.70.4
28.629.0
Auto6.4
Teleop15.8
End7.4
Second
3616
#12
26.40.5
25.926.4
Auto7.2
Teleop12.8
End6.5
red by 4.0
456
#16
22.50.4
21.521.8
Auto4.2
Teleop9.7
End8.6
Third
8732
#27
11.80.5
11.311.8
Auto4.3
Teleop4.3
End3.2
blue by 4.5
3824
#19
16.40.4
15.415.8
Auto3.1
Teleop4.9
End8.4