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Red99
142131.8
880830.3
410721.0
Blue82
346822.1
742822.0
192717.7
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions916102040801001201401609982

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.80.3
31.331.5
Auto14.6
Teleop10.4
End6.7
red by 9.7
3468
#10
22.10.5
21.822.3
Auto3.9
Teleop9.3
End8.8
Second
30.30.3
29.830.1
Auto8.7
Teleop12.2
End9.4
red by 8.3
22.00.5
21.722.2
Auto7.2
Teleop9.4
End5.4
Third
4107
#24
21.00.3
20.520.8
Auto6.3
Teleop7.9
End6.7
red by 3.3
1927
#15
17.70.5
17.417.9
Auto7.1
Teleop4.8
End5.7