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Red98
303947.2
433651.2
50459.5
Blue79
45622.5
382416.4
218329.7
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12463501001502009879

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.20.3
51.250.9
Auto13.3
Teleop28.9
End9.0
red by 21.6
29.70.1
29.029.1
Auto6.4
Teleop15.8
End7.4
Second
47.20.3
47.246.8
Auto14.5
Teleop26.1
End6.6
red by 24.7
456
#16
22.50.1
21.821.9
Auto4.2
Teleop9.7
End8.6
Third
5045
#28
9.50.4
9.99.5
Auto3.2
Teleop1.5
End4.8
blue by 6.9
3824
#19
16.40.1
15.815.8
Auto3.1
Teleop4.9
End8.4