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Red200
594073.2
167884.0
84132.9
Blue192
97168.8
97365.5
971B43.3
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions146145120140160180200200192

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
84.00.4
83.684.0
Auto14.0
Teleop67.0
End-0.7
red by 15.3
971
#10
68.80.4
68.468.8
Auto12.6
Teleop56.6
End-0.8
Second
73.20.4
72.873.2
Auto14.1
Teleop57.9
End-0.9
red by 7.7
973
#6
65.50.4
65.165.5
Auto12.4
Teleop51.0
End1.8
Third
841
#17
32.90.4
32.432.9
Auto3.8
Teleop30.3
End-1.0
blue by 10.4
971B
#18
43.30.5
42.843.3
Auto7.7
Teleop35.6
End-0.1