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Qual 252023 Madtown Throwdown
Red132
1678B45.1
7419B20.9
97365.5
Blue125
741928.4
213534.7
3970B29.3
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11062050100150200132125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
973
#6
65.50.4
70.1→69.7
Auto12.4
Teleop51.0
End1.8
red by 30.8
2135
#19
34.72.8
32.9→35.7
Auto6.3
Teleop28.6
End0.3
Second
1678B
#21
45.10.6
39.0→38.4
Auto6.4
Teleop39.1
End-0.8
red by 15.8
3970B
#33
29.34.7
22.6→27.3
Auto6.5
Teleop21.9
End0.7
Third
7419B
#27
20.90.5
23.5→23.1
Auto4.0
Teleop18.8
End-1.8
blue by 7.6
7419
#41
28.42.8
22.3→25.1
Auto6.9
Teleop21.6
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
70%Sustainability oddsEarned14%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
92%Activation oddsEarned49%Activation oddsEarned