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Qual 292023 Madtown Throwdown
Red108
3970B29.3
594073.2
1148B12.4
Blue122
135147.8
1323B57.3
502636.9
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions95118050150200250300108122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5940
#5
73.20.7
71.5→70.8
Auto14.1
Teleop57.9
End-0.9
red by 16.0
1323B
#9
57.31.0
48.7→47.7
Auto11.9
Teleop44.1
End0.8
Second
3970B
#33
29.31.2
27.3→26.1
Auto6.5
Teleop21.9
End0.7
blue by 18.5
1351
#24
47.80.6
46.7→46.1
Auto6.2
Teleop40.6
End-0.0
Third
1148B
#50
12.40.7
15.0→14.3
Auto3.2
Teleop9.6
End-0.1
blue by 24.5
5026
#31
36.90.6
36.4→35.8
Auto7.5
Teleop29.4
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
69%Sustainability oddsMissed69%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
66%Activation oddsMissed88%Activation oddsMissed