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Qual 452023 Madtown Throwdown
Red129
397044.3
58158.5
385930.2
Blue134
661926.6
1678B45.1
469836.9
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11681050100150200250129134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
581
#37
58.50.3
61.2→60.9
Auto9.0
Teleop51.4
End-1.8
red by 13.4
1678B
#21
45.12.9
41.7→44.5
Auto6.4
Teleop39.1
End-0.8
Second
3970
#44
44.30.3
42.4→42.1
Auto8.5
Teleop33.6
End2.1
red by 7.4
4698
#25
36.91.7
37.5→39.2
Auto5.9
Teleop30.1
End1.0
Third
3859
#42
30.20.3
29.9→29.6
Auto6.4
Teleop23.0
End0.8
red by 3.6
6619
#48
26.61.7
24.2→25.9
Auto7.5
Teleop17.3
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
74%Sustainability oddsMissed28%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
78%Activation oddsEarned76%Activation oddsEarned