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Red100
741928.4
135147.8
1678B45.1
Blue68
630520.7
973B27.1
876833.2
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9177020406010012014016010068

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1351
#24
47.80.6
45.244.6
Auto6.2
Teleop40.6
End-0.0
red by 14.6
8768
#39
33.21.2
29.228.0
Auto4.1
Teleop28.1
End1.0
Second
45.15.2
45.139.8
Auto6.4
Teleop39.1
End-0.8
red by 18.0
973B
#16
27.15.7
27.132.9
Auto4.6
Teleop23.2
End-0.4
Third
7419
#41
28.40.6
23.122.5
Auto6.9
Teleop21.6
End-0.1
red by 7.8
6305
#47
20.71.2
22.221.0
Auto5.7
Teleop12.0
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
60%Sustainability oddsMissed40%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
78%Activation oddsEarned52%Activation oddsEarned