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Qual 532023 Madtown Throwdown
Red135
581C42.8
581738.4
397044.3
Blue142
971B43.3
3970B29.3
541947.3
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9578050150200250300350400135142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3970
#44
44.31.6
42.1→43.7
Auto8.5
Teleop33.6
End2.1
blue by 3.0
5419
#4
47.32.6
40.1→42.7
Auto6.2
Teleop43.5
End-1.4
Second
581C
#15
42.82.7
33.6→36.3
Auto4.4
Teleop40.2
End-1.5
blue by 0.4
971B
#18
43.34.3
32.0→36.3
Auto7.7
Teleop35.6
End-0.1
Third
5817
#45
38.41.6
35.3→36.9
Auto6.8
Teleop31.0
End0.7
red by 9.1
3970B
#33
29.34.3
25.9→30.3
Auto6.5
Teleop21.9
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
58%Sustainability oddsEarned34%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
75%Activation oddsEarned47%Activation oddsEarned