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Qual 552023 Madtown Throwdown
Red111
630520.7
7419B20.9
97168.8
Blue113
1678C40.2
469836.9
5104B20.7
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8971020406080100120140160111113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
971
#10
68.80.1
64.2→64.4
Auto12.6
Teleop56.6
End-0.8
red by 28.6
1678C
#13
40.20.9
38.5→39.4
Auto6.6
Teleop33.2
End-0.6
Second
7419B
#27
20.90.1
22.2→22.3
Auto4.0
Teleop18.8
End-1.8
blue by 16.1
4698
#25
36.90.6
39.2→39.7
Auto5.9
Teleop30.1
End1.0
Third
6305
#47
20.70.1
22.8→22.9
Auto5.7
Teleop12.0
End2.9
Level
5104B
#34
20.70.9
14.9→15.9
Auto4.0
Teleop16.5
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
30%Sustainability oddsMissed18%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
71%Activation oddsEarned55%Activation oddsMissed