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Qual 572023 Madtown Throwdown
Red149
114835.5
594073.2
2813B17.5
Blue120
5026B11.1
1678B45.1
114B49.9
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10266050150149120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5940
#5
73.21.9
72.8→74.7
Auto14.1
Teleop57.9
End-0.9
red by 23.3
114B
#8
49.92.4
39.1→41.5
Auto9.7
Teleop40.4
End0.0
Second
1148
#26
35.51.9
31.9→33.8
Auto4.1
Teleop30.2
End1.6
blue by 9.6
1678B
#21
45.12.4
44.5→46.9
Auto6.4
Teleop39.1
End-0.8
Third
2813B
#38
17.53.2
15.4→18.6
Auto0.8
Teleop18.2
End-1.2
red by 6.4
5026B
#49
11.12.4
9.8→12.2
Auto4.9
Teleop6.5
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
47%Sustainability oddsEarned22%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
80%Activation oddsEarned53%Activation oddsEarned