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Red89
502636.9
3970B29.3
469836.9
Blue157
541947.3
25483.7
5419B14.5
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9410440608012014016089157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5026
#31
36.91.2
37.536.3
Auto7.5
Teleop29.4
End0.3
blue by 46.8
254
#1
83.71.5
84.185.7
Auto14.6
Teleop66.2
End0.3
Second
4698
#25
36.91.2
39.738.5
Auto5.9
Teleop30.1
End1.0
blue by 10.3
47.31.5
42.744.2
Auto6.2
Teleop43.5
End-1.4
Third
29.31.9
30.328.3
Auto6.5
Teleop21.9
End0.7
red by 14.7
14.52.4
6.99.3
Auto2.6
Teleop13.2
End-0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
20%Sustainability oddsMissed78%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
46%Activation oddsMissed83%Activation oddsMissed