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Red170
97168.8
167884.0
665730.4
Blue127
741928.4
876833.2
397044.3
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16079050100200250170127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
84.00.3
82.482.1
Auto14.0
Teleop67.0
End-0.7
red by 39.7
3970
#44
44.30.4
43.744.1
Auto8.5
Teleop33.6
End2.1
Second
971
#10
68.80.3
64.464.0
Auto12.6
Teleop56.6
End-0.8
red by 35.6
8768
#39
33.20.4
34.935.3
Auto4.1
Teleop28.1
End1.0
Third
6657
#29
30.40.3
29.829.4
Auto6.3
Teleop21.5
End3.0
red by 1.9
7419
#41
28.40.4
27.127.5
Auto6.9
Teleop21.6
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
90%Sustainability oddsEarned24%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
87%Activation oddsMissed77%Activation oddsMissed