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Red190
971B43.3
97365.5
97168.8
Blue133
541947.3
1323B57.3
741928.4
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15110850200250190133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
971
#10
68.80.4
66.667.1
Auto12.6
Teleop56.6
End-0.8
red by 11.5
57.30.0
57.357.3
Auto11.9
Teleop44.1
End0.8
Second
973
#6
65.50.4
63.463.8
Auto12.4
Teleop51.0
End1.8
red by 18.2
47.30.0
47.347.3
Auto6.2
Teleop43.5
End-1.4
Third
971B
#18
43.30.6
40.441.0
Auto7.7
Teleop35.6
End-0.1
red by 14.8
7419
#41
28.40.0
28.428.4
Auto6.9
Teleop21.6
End-0.1