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Red123
670219.5
347835.3
463543.2
Blue104
315819.1
440329.3
664730.2
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions108794060100120140160123104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.20.3
42.943.2
Auto14.4
Teleop20.8
End8.0
red by 13.1
6647
#13
30.20.3
29.930.2
Auto8.9
Teleop12.9
End8.4
Second
35.30.3
35.135.3
Auto9.1
Teleop16.4
End9.9
red by 6.1
29.30.3
29.029.3
Auto7.5
Teleop16.5
End5.4
Third
6702
#29
19.50.3
19.219.5
Auto6.4
Teleop8.9
End4.2
red by 0.4
3158
#23
19.10.3
18.819.1
Auto4.8
Teleop10.3
End4.1