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Red45
664730.2
478211.1
617017.6
Blue58
742126.2
393322.5
754618.5
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5660203040507080904558

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6647
#13
30.20.9
20.619.7
Auto8.9
Teleop12.9
End8.4
red by 4.0
7421
#15
26.20.2
21.221.5
Auto3.3
Teleop15.8
End7.1
Second
6170
#25
17.60.9
17.516.6
Auto5.4
Teleop7.0
End5.2
blue by 4.9
22.50.2
18.718.9
Auto8.4
Teleop7.5
End6.6
Third
4782
#37
11.10.9
15.014.1
Auto0.7
Teleop3.6
End6.8
blue by 7.4
7546
#18
18.50.2
15.916.2
Auto5.1
Teleop7.6
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
38%Activation oddsMissed40%Activation oddsMissed