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Red89
825610.8
829315.0
440329.3
Blue69
669416.0
401029.9
478211.1
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3955020801008969

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.33.4
15.518.8
Auto7.5
Teleop16.5
End5.4
blue by 0.6
29.91.0
21.122.1
Auto6.9
Teleop15.2
End7.7
Second
8293
#28
15.03.4
12.115.5
Auto3.1
Teleop6.0
End5.8
blue by 1.0
6694
#21
16.01.0
14.815.8
Auto3.4
Teleop10.5
End2.0
Third
8256
#33
10.83.4
11.214.5
Auto2.9
Teleop3.5
End4.3
blue by 0.3
4782
#37
11.11.0
14.115.1
Auto0.7
Teleop3.6
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
25%Activation oddsEarned32%Activation oddsMissed