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Red114
401029.9
347835.3
393322.5
Blue37
660812.7
742126.2
87419.5
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8841020608010012014011437

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.30.7
30.930.2
Auto9.1
Teleop16.4
End9.9
red by 9.1
7421
#15
26.20.8
20.319.4
Auto3.3
Teleop15.8
End7.1
Second
29.90.7
26.525.7
Auto6.9
Teleop15.2
End7.7
red by 17.2
6608
#38
12.70.8
13.813.0
Auto2.3
Teleop6.6
End3.8
Third
22.50.7
19.018.3
Auto8.4
Teleop7.5
End6.6
red by 13.1
8741
#39
9.50.8
10.59.7
Auto1.9
Teleop4.0
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
41%Activation oddsEarned27%Activation oddsMissed