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Red64
601724.6
825610.8
754618.5
Blue56
87419.5
595922.6
440329.3
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53543040506070806456

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.61.0
14.415.4
Auto6.4
Teleop9.4
End8.9
blue by 4.7
29.31.6
21.419.8
Auto7.5
Teleop16.5
End5.4
Second
7546
#18
18.51.0
20.621.6
Auto5.1
Teleop7.6
End5.9
blue by 4.1
5959
#17
22.61.6
19.417.8
Auto3.5
Teleop11.8
End7.2
Third
8256
#33
10.81.0
14.915.9
Auto2.9
Teleop3.5
End4.3
red by 1.3
8741
#39
9.51.6
9.78.1
Auto1.9
Teleop4.0
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
29%Activation oddsEarned17%Activation oddsMissed