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Red60
670219.5
601724.6
617017.6
Blue36
874012.1
928018.3
660812.7
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4654204060806036

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.61.8
15.417.2
Auto6.4
Teleop9.4
End8.9
red by 6.3
9280
#14
18.32.6
20.517.9
Auto5.9
Teleop5.3
End7.0
Second
6702
#29
19.51.8
9.110.9
Auto6.4
Teleop8.9
End4.2
red by 6.8
6608
#38
12.72.6
15.412.8
Auto2.3
Teleop6.6
End3.8
Third
6170
#25
17.61.8
19.221.0
Auto5.4
Teleop7.0
End5.2
red by 5.5
8740
#19
12.12.6
13.711.1
Auto2.2
Teleop5.4
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
26%Activation oddsEarned34%Activation oddsMissed