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Red36
667613.1
742126.2
772514.2
Blue66
595922.6
393322.5
593212.2
13%Model gave it87%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3760020801003666

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7421
#15
26.20.2
19.919.7
Auto3.3
Teleop15.8
End7.1
red by 3.6
5959
#17
22.60.9
17.818.6
Auto3.5
Teleop11.8
End7.2
Second
7725
#30
14.20.2
9.59.4
Auto2.6
Teleop7.4
End4.1
blue by 8.4
22.50.9
19.720.6
Auto8.4
Teleop7.5
End6.6
Third
6676
#20
13.10.2
8.28.0
Auto1.9
Teleop5.7
End5.4
red by 0.9
5932
#34
12.20.9
15.716.5
Auto2.3
Teleop5.2
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
19%Activation oddsMissed26%Activation oddsMissed