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Red110
463543.2
513312.1
440329.3
Blue66
458415.8
664730.2
393322.5
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8569406010012014011066

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.22.8
42.745.6
Auto14.4
Teleop20.8
End8.0
red by 13.1
6647
#13
30.20.1
24.524.5
Auto8.9
Teleop12.9
End8.4
Second
29.32.6
22.725.3
Auto7.5
Teleop16.5
End5.4
red by 6.8
22.50.1
25.425.3
Auto8.4
Teleop7.5
End6.6
Third
5133
#27
12.12.6
12.314.9
Auto2.6
Teleop6.6
End2.9
blue by 3.7
4584
#32
15.80.1
16.916.8
Auto5.2
Teleop7.6
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
48%Activation oddsEarned45%Activation oddsEarned