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Red52
710226.6
315819.1
588717.5
Blue24
921320.0
513312.1
825610.8
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5051204060805224

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.60.4
15.015.4
Auto8.4
Teleop11.8
End6.4
red by 6.6
9213
#11
20.011.9
25.613.7
Auto5.4
Teleop6.2
End8.4
Second
3158
#23
19.10.4
17.217.7
Auto4.8
Teleop10.3
End4.1
red by 7.0
5133
#27
12.13.0
15.012.0
Auto2.6
Teleop6.6
End2.9
Third
17.50.4
16.016.4
Auto4.0
Teleop8.7
End4.8
red by 6.7
8256
#33
10.83.0
14.111.2
Auto2.9
Teleop3.5
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
35%Activation oddsEarned34%Activation oddsMissed