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Red30
634824.0
87419.5
393322.5
Blue37
379418.2
874012.1
670219.5
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5842020801003037

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6348
#16
24.02.5
19.917.4
Auto8.4
Teleop9.9
End5.8
red by 4.5
6702
#29
19.51.1
15.214.1
Auto6.4
Teleop8.9
End4.2
Second
22.52.5
18.916.5
Auto8.4
Teleop7.5
End6.6
red by 4.3
3794
#12
18.21.1
17.516.4
Auto4.9
Teleop4.7
End8.6
Third
8741
#39
9.52.5
13.310.8
Auto1.9
Teleop4.0
End3.6
blue by 2.6
8740
#19
12.11.1
9.07.9
Auto2.2
Teleop5.4
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
29%Activation oddsMissed27%Activation oddsMissed