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Red129
670219.5
347835.3
463543.2
Blue88
401029.9
710226.6
617017.6
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions104732040608012014016012988

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.20.5
41.842.4
Auto14.4
Teleop20.8
End8.0
red by 13.4
29.90.4
29.429.8
Auto6.9
Teleop15.2
End7.7
Second
35.30.5
34.034.5
Auto9.1
Teleop16.4
End9.9
red by 8.8
26.60.4
26.126.5
Auto8.4
Teleop11.8
End6.4
Third
6702
#29
19.50.5
18.118.7
Auto6.4
Teleop8.9
End4.2
red by 1.9
6170
#25
17.60.5
17.117.5
Auto5.4
Teleop7.0
End5.2