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Red52
352718.1
335413.7
228323.5
Blue72
610616.4
617021.9
569615.2
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4748102030406070805272

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.50.2
18.217.9
Auto4.5
Teleop12.4
End6.6
red by 1.6
6170
#15
21.92.5
17.620.1
Auto6.7
Teleop9.9
End5.2
Second
3527
#24
18.10.3
16.316.0
Auto3.4
Teleop9.0
End5.8
red by 1.7
6106
#30
16.42.5
10.613.1
Auto5.9
Teleop6.6
End4.0
Third
3354
#25
13.70.2
10.310.1
Auto1.0
Teleop7.6
End5.1
blue by 1.5
15.23.1
15.818.9
Auto6.7
Teleop4.1
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
30%Activation oddsMissed21%Activation oddsMissed