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Red60
617021.9
393325.4
352718.1
Blue95
710230.9
473113.9
347839.2
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68812040601001206095

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3933
#16
25.40.4
25.825.4
Auto10.2
Teleop9.2
End6.0
blue by 13.8
39.21.0
36.237.2
Auto11.3
Teleop17.0
End10.9
Second
6170
#15
21.90.4
23.523.1
Auto6.7
Teleop9.9
End5.2
blue by 9.0
30.91.0
29.030.0
Auto10.0
Teleop13.1
End7.9
Third
3527
#24
18.10.6
16.015.5
Auto3.4
Teleop9.0
End5.8
red by 4.2
4731
#10
13.91.0
9.510.5
Auto2.8
Teleop6.2
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
2%Sustainability oddsMissed2%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
27%Activation oddsMissed82%Activation oddsEarned