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Red62
43559.6
911821.4
477522.0
Blue74
347211.6
379417.8
601725.3
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions505702040801001206274

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4775
#17
22.00.6
22.623.3
Auto5.7
Teleop10.1
End6.1
blue by 3.3
6017
#11
25.31.1
21.622.7
Auto5.6
Teleop11.2
End8.5
Second
9118
#29
21.40.9
16.517.4
Auto4.5
Teleop8.2
End8.6
red by 3.6
3794
#18
17.81.1
18.019.1
Auto4.3
Teleop5.0
End8.5
Third
4355
#33
9.60.9
8.39.2
Auto3.0
Teleop3.0
End3.6
blue by 2.0
3472
#26
11.61.1
12.914.0
Auto2.3
Teleop5.2
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed2%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
17%Activation oddsMissed48%Activation oddsMissed