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Red65
905310.6
315822.6
928220.5
Blue63
393325.4
601725.3
43559.6
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5860203040507080901006563

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.60.7
23.023.7
Auto5.1
Teleop11.8
End5.7
blue by 2.8
3933
#16
25.40.1
23.924.0
Auto10.2
Teleop9.2
End6.0
Second
9282
#12
20.50.7
19.620.3
Auto6.4
Teleop7.8
End6.2
blue by 4.8
6017
#11
25.30.1
22.722.9
Auto5.6
Teleop11.2
End8.5
Third
9053
#28
10.60.9
12.113.0
Auto1.9
Teleop6.0
End2.7
red by 1.1
4355
#33
9.60.2
9.29.4
Auto3.0
Teleop3.0
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed2%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
46%Activation oddsMissed25%Activation oddsMissed