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Red67
588720.0
928220.5
594817.8
Blue44
477522.0
347211.6
473113.9
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions595301001502006744

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9282
#12
20.50.8
20.321.1
Auto6.4
Teleop7.8
End6.2
blue by 1.5
4775
#17
22.01.1
24.323.2
Auto5.7
Teleop10.1
End6.1
Second
20.00.8
19.420.2
Auto5.9
Teleop10.0
End4.1
red by 6.1
4731
#10
13.91.1
13.212.1
Auto2.8
Teleop6.2
End4.9
Third
5948
#19
17.81.0
14.815.8
Auto6.6
Teleop7.8
End3.4
red by 6.2
3472
#26
11.61.1
13.011.9
Auto2.3
Teleop5.2
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed2%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
35%Activation oddsMissed24%Activation oddsMissed