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Red49
393325.4
570511.5
335413.7
Blue44
601725.3
472318.9
660611.2
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions535901001502002503003504004944

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3933
#16
25.40.5
22.522.0
Auto10.2
Teleop9.2
End6.0
red by 0.1
6017
#11
25.31.1
24.623.5
Auto5.6
Teleop11.2
End8.5
Second
3354
#25
13.70.4
10.19.7
Auto1.0
Teleop7.6
End5.1
blue by 5.1
4723
#13
18.91.7
13.011.3
Auto1.1
Teleop10.0
End7.8
Third
5705
#21
11.50.7
17.416.7
Auto2.3
Teleop4.3
End4.9
red by 0.2
6606
#27
11.21.7
16.614.9
Auto1.9
Teleop4.4
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
25%Activation oddsMissed67%Activation oddsMissed