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Red60
905310.6
911821.4
393325.4
Blue97
634832.6
437116.4
335413.7
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59603040507080906097

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3933
#16
25.40.2
25.826.0
Auto10.2
Teleop9.2
End6.0
blue by 7.2
32.61.8
29.731.4
Auto11.3
Teleop13.2
End8.1
Second
9118
#29
21.40.2
20.420.7
Auto4.5
Teleop8.2
End8.6
red by 4.9
4371
#23
16.42.0
13.815.8
Auto3.4
Teleop7.6
End5.5
Third
9053
#28
10.60.2
10.410.6
Auto1.9
Teleop6.0
End2.7
blue by 3.1
3354
#25
13.71.8
12.013.7
Auto1.0
Teleop7.6
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
2%Sustainability oddsMissed2%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
31%Activation oddsMissed26%Activation oddsEarned