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Red47
379417.8
928220.5
393325.4
Blue101
601725.3
710230.9
911821.4
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6785406010012014047101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3933
#16
25.40.4
25.825.4
Auto10.2
Teleop9.2
End6.0
blue by 5.5
30.90.2
30.730.9
Auto10.0
Teleop13.1
End7.9
Second
9282
#12
20.50.4
20.920.5
Auto6.4
Teleop7.8
End6.2
blue by 4.8
6017
#11
25.30.2
25.225.3
Auto5.6
Teleop11.2
End8.5
Third
3794
#18
17.80.4
18.217.8
Auto4.3
Teleop5.0
End8.5
blue by 3.6
9118
#29
21.40.2
21.221.4
Auto4.5
Teleop8.2
End8.6