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Red118
401037.0
347839.2
610616.4
Blue76
601725.3
710230.9
911821.4
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1027820406012014016011876

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.20.3
39.239.5
Auto11.3
Teleop17.0
End10.9
red by 8.3
30.90.0
30.530.5
Auto10.0
Teleop13.1
End7.9
Second
37.00.3
37.037.4
Auto9.1
Teleop20.0
End8.0
red by 11.7
6017
#11
25.30.0
24.924.9
Auto5.6
Teleop11.2
End8.5
Third
6106
#30
16.40.3
16.416.7
Auto5.9
Teleop6.6
End4.0
blue by 5.0
9118
#29
21.40.0
20.920.9
Auto4.5
Teleop8.2
End8.6