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Red89
911821.4
710230.9
601725.3
Blue72
315822.6
228323.5
571618.3
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions846520401001201408972

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.90.3
30.530.7
Auto10.0
Teleop13.1
End7.9
red by 7.4
23.50.2
23.323.5
Auto4.5
Teleop12.4
End6.6
Second
6017
#11
25.30.3
24.925.2
Auto5.6
Teleop11.2
End8.5
red by 2.8
22.60.2
22.422.6
Auto5.1
Teleop11.8
End5.7
Third
9118
#29
21.40.3
20.921.2
Auto4.5
Teleop8.2
End8.6
red by 3.1
5716
#31
18.30.2
18.118.3
Auto4.7
Teleop9.9
End3.7