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Red88
440043.4
768718.7
772519.1
Blue50
440331.9
829121.0
620019.4
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions676940506080901008850

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.41.3
33.034.3
Auto11.0
Teleop23.5
End8.9
red by 11.4
4403
#20
31.91.0
28.327.4
Auto5.4
Teleop21.2
End5.3
Second
7725
#11
19.11.3
16.417.7
Auto4.7
Teleop10.2
End4.3
blue by 1.9
8291
#19
21.01.0
18.917.9
Auto5.7
Teleop9.0
End6.3
Third
7687
#22
18.72.2
13.916.1
Auto4.6
Teleop7.4
End6.7
blue by 0.7
6200
#40
19.41.6
17.415.8
Auto3.9
Teleop8.4
End7.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
40%Activation oddsEarned18%Activation oddsMissed