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Red60
552629.5
757731.0
61999.0
Blue27
660518.4
570518.6
689616.7
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions595102040801001206027

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.00.6
21.021.7
Auto9.9
Teleop13.1
End8.0
red by 12.4
5705
#21
18.61.5
14.513.0
Auto2.5
Teleop9.8
End6.3
Second
29.50.4
23.924.3
Auto7.6
Teleop12.9
End9.0
red by 11.0
6605
#16
18.42.4
12.19.6
Auto10.2
Teleop3.0
End5.2
Third
6199
#13
9.00.6
9.310.0
Auto2.6
Teleop4.4
End2.0
blue by 7.7
6896
#26
16.72.4
22.419.9
Auto4.1
Teleop5.8
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
39%Activation oddsMissed19%Activation oddsMissed