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Red73
660518.4
772519.1
716114.5
Blue42
352613.3
810519.9
701812.3
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43471020306070807342

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7725
#11
19.12.2
17.719.9
Auto4.7
Teleop10.2
End4.3
blue by 0.8
8105
#37
19.90.7
17.116.4
Auto5.8
Teleop9.4
End4.7
Second
6605
#16
18.43.6
9.613.2
Auto10.2
Teleop3.0
End5.2
red by 5.1
3526
#32
13.30.4
12.512.1
Auto1.6
Teleop7.8
End4.0
Third
7161
#24
14.53.6
13.216.8
Auto4.4
Teleop5.2
End4.9
red by 2.3
7018
#29
12.30.7
13.612.9
Auto4.9
Teleop4.5
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
16%Activation oddsEarned10%Activation oddsMissed