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Red41
64837.0
810519.9
531213.9
Blue65
473514.2
766918.7
477528.4
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4164020801001204165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8105
#37
19.90.0
16.416.4
Auto5.8
Teleop9.4
End4.7
blue by 8.5
4775
#14
28.40.5
23.022.5
Auto6.7
Teleop15.4
End6.3
Second
5312
#35
13.90.0
9.59.4
Auto3.8
Teleop6.3
End3.8
blue by 4.8
18.70.8
19.018.3
Auto3.4
Teleop7.0
End8.3
Third
6483
#34
7.00.0
15.515.4
Auto1.8
Teleop2.7
End2.5
blue by 7.1
4735
#10
14.20.5
14.814.3
Auto5.2
Teleop4.2
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
23%Activation oddsMissed41%Activation oddsMissed