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Red81
477528.4
810519.9
552629.5
Blue93
595924.7
440043.4
716114.5
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66842040601001201401608193

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.51.1
25.626.7
Auto7.6
Teleop12.9
End9.0
blue by 13.9
43.41.1
37.438.5
Auto11.0
Teleop23.5
End8.9
Second
4775
#14
28.41.1
22.523.6
Auto6.7
Teleop15.4
End6.3
red by 3.8
24.71.1
24.125.2
Auto4.9
Teleop14.5
End5.3
Third
8105
#37
19.91.8
16.418.2
Auto5.8
Teleop9.4
End4.7
red by 5.3
7161
#24
14.51.9
14.816.7
Auto4.4
Teleop5.2
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
38%Activation oddsEarned49%Activation oddsEarned