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Red30
768718.7
910310.2
70409.5
Blue98
766918.7
440043.4
531213.9
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4376020601001201403098

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7687
#22
18.71.6
18.917.3
Auto4.6
Teleop7.4
End6.7
blue by 24.6
43.41.3
38.539.8
Auto11.0
Teleop23.5
End8.9
Second
9103
#31
10.21.6
12.811.2
Auto1.3
Teleop4.3
End4.5
blue by 8.5
18.72.1
18.620.8
Auto3.4
Teleop7.0
End8.3
Third
7040
#41
9.51.6
13.011.3
Auto4.8
Teleop3.8
End0.9
blue by 4.4
5312
#35
13.91.3
9.911.1
Auto3.8
Teleop6.3
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
28%Activation oddsMissed57%Activation oddsEarned